Climate$812K vol
Will it rain in NYC tomorrow?
63¢
▲ Yes03 · Markets
This part isn't an act.
Before I ever saw this posting, I spent my nights building a prediction-market interface — for no client, no job, no reason except that markets which trade on what's true are the most interesting product surface I know.
A prediction market is a machine that pays people to be honest about the future. That idea has real stakes: better forecasts, less punditry, a price on truth. Kalshi made it legal, regulated, and consumer-grade — which is exactly the version of this future I want to help design.
Below: a live board in Kalshi's language — event contracts priced in cents, Yes and No always summing to a dollar — built from scratch for this page.
Economics$4.8M vol
Fed cuts rates at the September meeting?
67¢
▲ YesEconomics$2.1M vol
CPI above 3.0% this month?
34¢
▼ YesClimate$978K vol
Highest temperature in LA above 90°F this week?
52¢
• YesSimulated prices — the interaction design is the exhibit.
Design a market
Now you list one.
Market design is product design: a good contract is unambiguous, settle-able, and priced where honest money would open. Write one — the form teaches the rules as you go, and publishing puts it on the board above.
A good market is a question a stranger could settle with a public source — name the who, the what, and the when.
Where traders would look for it.
The moment the answer is knowable.
Where would honest money open? Both sides always sum to $1 — that's the whole game.
Live preview — this is the review step
Economics$1K vol
Your question appears here — make it settle-able?
50¢
• YesThe preview is the real component, not a mockup — what you publish is exactly what you saw. New listings open thin, so yours will sit at your price until traders show up.
How I think about designing for traders
The price is the interface.
On an exchange, one number carries the whole story. Everything else — type, motion, color — exists to make that number instantly legible and completely trustworthy.
Calm is a feature.
Markets move constantly; the UI shouldn't panic with them. Motion that soothes instead of alarms keeps people thinking clearly — which is the whole point of a prediction market.
Trust is pixel-deep.
In regulated finance, a misaligned digit erodes confidence the same way a wrong balance would. Craft isn't cosmetic here — it's the product's credibility.
Designed & built from scratch for this application — React · Next.js · TypeScript · Framer Motion. Source ↗claytonryanyoung@gmail.com